While I don't claim to know or predict the future, I do feel like this whole blogging thing is gonna peak sooner or later. After that it may die off or continue along just fine. But either way I suspect blogging as a "hot thing" can only last so long.
How long? That's the question.
It seems to me that the advertising bits are falling into place, the tools are beginning to mature, the marketplace of platform and service vendors will be consolidating soon, and well... everything seems to be falling into place.
What's still missing?
Blogging now feels like on-line shopping around the year 2000 or 2001. Most of us no longer think it's a miracle that it works, a new thing, scary, difficult, hard to understand, etc.
So I'm starting to wonder what the timeline might look like. Roughly when do you expect blogging to go from being "the new thing" or "the thing that changes/reinvents X" to just another part of daily life for a bunch of people? ...just like on-line shopping.
Posted by jzawodn at July 20, 2005 12:10 PM